Survey results

Our statistics class survey was not only a survey. It was an experiment.

You remember that each survey had a random number X at the top of it, `a random number between 0 and 100'. These numbers were actually chosen at random from the set {10,65}. Half of the surveys had `X=10', and half had `X=65'.

The 'Survey'

We chose (by computer) a random number between 0 and 100.

The number selected for you is X = [65 / 10]

  1. Do you think X is greater or less than the percentage of countries that are in Africa?
  2. Write down your best estimate of the percentage of countries that are in Africa.
  3. How many children does your mother have (including you)?
  4. How many children does your oldest aunt have?

Please think about the following questions: (remember, the numbers X = 10 and X= 65 were assigned randomly)

Then...

Listen to a 'Yes Minister' play, that explains how opinion pollsters can get whatever answer they want to a question.

See the responses to the survey.


This class exercise was picked up from Teaching Statistics: A Bag of Tricks by Andrew Gelman and Deborah Nolan.
Another survey in the news
David MacKay - 2006 October 10th